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@harrisonqian / ideas / wiki/ultimate-predictor.md
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--- first_captured: 2026-01-24 sources: - sources/ideaflow/2026-01-24_train-an-alg-to-predict-how-long-until.md - sources/google-sheets-ideas.md status: raw tags: - sports - ml - software title: ultimate point predictor type: idea updated: 2026-04-10 visibility: public-edit --- # ultimate point predictor train an algorithm to predict how long until an ultimate frisbee point ends, or classify states: playing, about to score, point over (not playing). a fun sports ML application. **spreadsheet evaluation:** originality 8/10, excitement 3/10, MVP 4-8 weeks. competitive landscape: sports analytics ML exists for basketball (Second Spectrum), soccer — ultimate frisbee analytics is extremely underdeveloped (Ultiworld does basic stats). novel sport + novel application. needs labeled training data (game footage with timestamps), could use AUDL or Ultiworld tournament footage. computer vision for player tracking + disc tracking is the hard part. tech depth 5/10, labeled [ARCHIVE] ("fun but niche and small"). --- ## timeline - [2026-01-24] captured — ultimate frisbee point prediction - [2026-04-10] google sheets evaluation — 8/10 originality, 3/10 excitement, [ARCHIVE] tier
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